Som forskare, Jag har följt olika högerextrema grupper och rörelser i Norge och Skandinavien under de senaste 30 åren. Det har skett några betydande förändringar under den här tiden – förändringar som har en inverkan på hur vårt samhälle ska förhålla sig till sådana miljöer, och vilka typer av förebyggande åtgärder som kan vara relevanta och effektiva.

Först, vad menar vi med sådana begrepp som högerextremism? I forskning om den så kallade extremhögern, det är allmänt accepterat bland forskare att göra en skillnad mellan den radikala högern och den extrema högern. De delar någon form av nativism eller etnisk nationalism samt intolerans mot mångfald. Dock, högerradikala aktörer verkar inom demokratiska gränser, Högerextrema aktörer avvisar öppet demokrati och universella mänskliga rättigheter. och anser att våld mot "folkets fiender" är legitimt.

Rasistiska ungdomskulturer är borta

En av de mest slående händelserna i Norge och många andra länder är att högerextremism inte längre är ett typiskt ungdomsproblem, utan snarare utgörs sådana organisationer och rörelser numera nästan uteslutande av vuxna. Under 1990-talet och början av 2000-talet fanns det några ganska stora högerextrema ungdomssubkulturer och grupper i Norge och andra västländer. Dessa rörelser var främst förknippade med skinhead-subkulturen (i Norge representerade av grupper som Boot Boys), såväl som white power musikband och konserter, och nynazistiska organisationer som tilltalade vissa marginaliserade och utsatta ungdomar (t.ex. Vigrid). De flesta deltagare rekryterades till dessa scener som tonåringar, grupperna själva uppfyller vissa grundläggande sociala behov som vänskap, identitet, skydd, spänning och grupptillhörighet. I synnerhet i skinhead-rörelsen, våld och hat mot motståndare, invandrare, och andra marginaliserade grupper hade ett eget värde. Deras visuella stil var lätt att känna igen på gatan, som ofta ledde till våldsamma sammandrabbningar med motståndare, som vänster- och antifascistiska militanter.

Det finns knappast några sådana högerextrema eller rasistiska ungdomsscener kvar i Norge idag. Det finns inga attraktiva sociala arenor som kan dra in ungdomar till högerextrema eller rasistiska rörelser, och det finns inte heller någon White Power-musikscen, som det var under 1990-talet. Den främsta nynazistiska organisationen, Nordiska motståndsrörelsen, har cirka 30-40 aktivister i Norge, kanske 4-500 i Sverige, och cirka 100 i Finland och Danmark. Dock, medlemmarna i denna organisation är vuxna, vanligtvis mellan 20 och 50 år, och åtminstone i Norge, det finns knappt några tonåringar. Tydligen, gruppens mycket strikta regler och sätt att leva verkar inte tilltala många unga. Den nationalsocialistiska ideologin framstår som förlegad.

Vigilantegrupper som Soldiers of Odin var huvudsakligen en gemenskap av några unga män och några kvinnor mellan 20 och 40, snarare än en grupp som tilltalar tonåringar. Generationsidentitet, en etnonationalistisk rörelse som har lyckats rekrytera studenter och andra resursstarka ungdomar i vissa europeiska länder, har ännu inte kunnat få något nämnvärt fotfäste i Norge. Dock, det här är förmodligen den typen av extremhögerrörelse som kan ha potential att rekrytera bland norska ungdomar.

Radikala högerorganisationer mot invandring och islamisering, som Stoppa islamiseringen av Norge/Danmark/Europa, Pegida och den engelska/norska försvarsligan, Folkrörelsen mot Immigration (FMI) och ett parti som heter "Demokraterna", består vanligtvis av vuxna och äldre, men det finns knappt några ungdomar att se i dessa organisationer.

En huvudorsak till denna övergång från högerextremism bland ungdomar är att rädslan för utlänningar – främlingsfientlighet – gradvis har minskat bland de yngre generationerna i Norge. Flera attitydundersökningar har visat att främlingsfientlighet främst behålls bland de äldre generationerna. Unga människor idag växer upp i ett mångkulturellt samhälle, och de är vana vid skolkamrater och vänner från olika kulturer, religiös och rasmässig bakgrund. Detta är inte samma sak med äldre människor, som är mycket mer oroliga av "främmande" ansikten och kulturer.

Denna förändring får stora konsekvenser för hur man kan förebygga högerextremism, och vilka myndigheter som har relevanta resurser och åtgärder för att göra det. När målgruppen för prevention på 1990-talet och början av 2000-talet huvudsakligen var tonåringar, det fanns en stor förebyggande apparat i kommunerna med fokus på barn och ungdomar:skolväsendet, till exempel, har lärare i uppdrag att följa upp elever med olika problem och elever som hoppat av skolan. Det fanns skolsköterskor, ungdomsarbetare, psykosociala team för ungdomar, barnskyddstjänster, ungdomsklubbar, idrottsföreningar och andra fritidsaktiviteter. Det fanns också ett nära samarbete mellan förebyggande poliser, skolor och socialtjänst för att följa upp ungdomar i riskzonen eller som är inblandade i droger, gäng, våld eller extremism. Alla dessa tjänster och förebyggande åtgärder – kärnelement i den skandinaviska välfärdsstaten – är irrelevanta när målgruppen inte längre är tonåringar utan unga vuxna eller äldre från 18 till 80. Nya grepp är nödvändiga och andra aktörer och myndigheter måste engagera sig. Kriminalvården (kriminalvården), Arbetsförmedlingen och olika hälso- och sjukvårdstjänster är viktiga aktörer i hanteringen av dessa vuxna militanter, även om polisen och säkerhetstjänsten kommer att spela en stor roll för att förhindra dessa vuxna aktivister från att begå brott, och följa upp dem med mer repressiva åtgärder om de gör det.

Från gatuaktivism till internetaktivism – och tillbaka till gatan?

Another significant change during the last decades is that the arenas for extremist activism to a large extent – but not completely – have moved from physical meetings and street activism onto the Internet in the forms of web pages, blogs and various types of social media (such as Facebook, Twitter, YouTube, Telegram, etc).

This change has several consequences:the threshold for participating in discussions and exchange of opinions has become lower. It is also much easier to find people sharing your particular views on the Internet than in traditional social arenas. In discussion fora at Facebook or other social media you can get your radical views confirmed and reinforced through interaction with likeminded peers, leading to a radicalisation of your own worldview. The threshold is lower for expressing extremist attitudes or making hateful or threatening statements. The increase in hate speech and threats against politicians that has been measured is several studies during the last few years is mainly reflecting an increase in such statements in social media. Such hate speech and threats may become so stressful and frightening that some top politicians have considered giving up their political positions and public engagement activities.

Another reason for the increase in extreme-right activism on the Internet is that the risk to participate in such activities is much lower in on-line activism than in off-line activities. There is little risk for being physically attacked by militant anti-racists. Verkligen, mer allmänt, when extremist activism is mainly taking place in the virtual space there are fewer opportunities for physical and violent clashes with political opponents. The experience from Norway during the 1990s and early 2000s was that such confrontations could have radicalising impact on both sides and cause a spiral of violence. I Norge, this form of violent conflict dynamics has been relatively absent during the last 15 years. Hate crime in the form of violence, harassment and threats does still happen in the physical space but most of this aggression and hatred is now coming out as hate speech and harassment in social media. Because the threshold for making such hateful statements has been lowered, the volume of it has also increased. When my colleague Jacob Aasland Ravndal in his Ph.D. thesis finds that the number of right-wing extremist attacks in Western Europe has been reduced in the period between 1990 and 2015, one of the possible explanations he provides is that a large part of extremist political activism has moved from the physical space to on-line activism.

Dock, street activism has not ended completely, and some far-right and extreme-right groups have even re-invigorated their street-level activity. Some anti-Islam groups have had a number of street stands to propagate their message, although with limited participation. I många fall, their talks have been drowned out by shouting from counter-demonstrators. There have also been two main attempts to mobilise mass demonstrations against immigration and Islam, but both failed. The English Defence League, which has mobilised thousands in the UK, inspired the Norwegian Defence League, but the turn-out was very low. The same happened with the Norwegian off-shoot of the German Pegida movement, which mobilised tens of thousands in cities like Dresden in Germany. Their Norwegian subsidiary got some attention initially, but it soon petered out.

Dock, the Nordic Resistance Movement has succeeded in organising some rather large street demonstrations, in particular in Sweden, with up to 500 participants marching with flags, uniforms and shields. In Norway they have only managed to mobilise 70 and 50 participants in two demonstrations, and the majority of the demonstrators were Swedish activists, not Norwegians. Dock, what makes the demonstrations of the Norwegian Resistance Movement more powerful and scary than their limited numbers should entail is that they act in a very disciplined way, almost in military order, with banners and uniforms. Previous Norwegian neo-Nazis have never been able to act like that, even if the Norwegian branch of the Nordic Resistance movement could not have done this without a lot of support from their Swedish partners.

The Nordic Resistance Movement claims that violence will be necessary to achieve their revolution but they do not consider it strategically useful to make use of it at this stage. Their rhetoric is very violent, fastän, carrying posters with pictures of politicians and others they claim are "traitors of the people" during their demonstrations, and also putting up posters saying that traitors shall be hanged. Dock, they rarely initiate violent attacks against opponents, although they are ready to attack anyone who provoke them. I Finland, an activist kicked down a person who said something against the group. He died a few days later. The organisation has now been banned by the court in Finland. I Norge, dock, the police cannot ban the Nordic Resistance Movement from staging marches and demonstrations as long as they operate within the boundaries of the law and the freedom of expression. In one case, the police banned their demonstration due to the risk of violent clashes with militant counter-demonstrators. This decision was strongly criticised by legal experts on human rights. Handling demonstrations by national socialists – declared enemies of democracy and human rights – is a dilemma the police will continue to face for the foreseeable future.

One of the consequences of activism transferring from the street to the web and social media is that most of the activism is no longer linked to a geographical location where there is an apparatus for prevention. That means that there is not necessarily any particular agency who feels responsible to intervene against hate speech or individuals who cross the line. Tidigare, the local police knew the individuals who had extremist inclinations. In the present situation, such individuals and incidents might be detected by or reported to central units in the police or security service – or not. These units may – or may not – send the cases to the local police and ask them to intervene. I Norge, the National Criminal Investigation Service has for some years had a so-called Net Patrol, men tills nu, they have not had the capacity to actively monitor the web and social media. It has mainly functioned as an Internet portal – a virtual police station – where people can report incidents. Beginning in January 2019, the National Criminal Investigation Service has set up a new centre for digital policing, tasked with doing more active patrolling on the net. The police do prosecute a number of cases of hate speech and threats made through social media, and there have been several convictions during the last few years. Many cases are in the grey area of legality, fastän. Dock, the police has developed another measure that has proven to be quite effective:giving warnings and using preventive dialogue to make people change their behaviour, as well as using dialogue to assess whether there is a risk that the offender might actually do something more than making verbal threats.

Globalisation and transnational diffusion

Globalisation is not a new phenomenon when it comes to political extremism in general and right-wing extremism in particular. Militant ideologies and modes of action have spread from country to country and inspired new groups and generations, as evidenced by Italian fascism, German National Socialism, American racism and fascist skinhead culture from England. Dock, previously, this travelling of extremist ideas, social movements and action forms happened rather slowly. It took almost a decade before the racist skinhead style took foothold among groups of youths in Norway, and more than a decade before it faded away.

During the last 10-15 years the diffusion of radical and extremist movements has accelerated amazingly. Concepts, names and action forms like PEGIDA, the English/Norwegian Defence League and the Soldiers of Odin took merely days or weeks from they emerged in Germany or Finland until an off-shoot was planted in Norway. Within a few months in 2016, Soldiers of Odin spread to more than 20 countries. Dock, these off-shoots had a rapid growth before they dried out and disappeared. Tydligen, they did not find a fertile ground and failed to set down roots.

The news media played a major role in the launching of these new, imported groups. When the Norwegian Defence League, Pegida and the Soldiers of Odin staged their first events, there were often more journalists than activists or demonstrators present, giving the upstarts a lot of publicity to start with.

The contrast to these rapid-growing but failed off-shoots was the Norwegian Resistance Movement, which was an off-shoot of the original Swedish Resistance Movement. Both the Swedish, Finnish and Norwegian branches have spent years to build a disciplined, hierarchical organisation with a solid stem of activists, WHO, though small in number, are very dedicated.

Islam as the new main enemy

The organised opposition to immigration that emerged during the late 1980s with the establishment of the People's Movement against Immigration and similar organisations were, to begin with, a rather marginal and stigmatized movement. The movement was characterized by an extremist, rude rhetoric which justified violence against their opponents, described as "national traitors". During the last 15 years the general opposition against immigration has moved towards a more specific fight against Islam and immigration by Muslims. This skepticism against Islam is no longer mainly associated with marginal groupings but has now made inroads into the political mainstream. In the aftermath of the 9-11 attacks in the USA in 2001 and a series of lethal terrorist attacks in Europe during the following years, militant Islamism and jihadi terrorism now appears as a real threat to ordinary people in Norway as well as to the rest of Europe. Dessutom, many feel that conservative Islamist customs and dress codes have spread in ways that is challenging liberal Norwegian and European values and norms.

Another significant development is that some of the leading anti-Islam activists have a political background which is not from the far right but rather from the radical or liberal left, from anti-religious secularism and from the feminist movement. In contrast to the traditional anti-immigration movement, which often appeared as reactionary male chauvinists, many opponents of Islam today present themselves as defenders of women's liberation, gender equality and gay rights. For some of the anti-Islam activists, these are genuine liberal values, whereas others who voice these arguments appear more as opportunists in this regard. Dock, within the anti-Islam movements, old-fashioned extreme-right attitudes live side-by-side with liberal and secular values.

The boundaries for what is acceptable to express publicly about Muslims and Islam has moved considerably during the previous 10-15 years. Much of what is said in the public, would not have been acceptable if one said "Jew" rather than "Muslim". Leading Norwegian politicians have made statements about a "sneaky islamisation of Norway" and similar statements that contributes to a normalization of claims that their political opponents have deliberately facilitated an Islamic "invasion" of Europe. A likely consequence of pointing out Islam as the new main enemy is that an increasing share of extreme-right violence and hate crime is now directed specifically against Muslims. Särskilt, women wearing hijab or niqab have become victims of hateful harassment and violence. It is laudable that the Norwegian government has recently launched an action plan against anti-Semitism. Dock, there is an even greater need for a preventive strategy against Islamophobia.